Accident Bushby Mustang II N287BM,
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ASN Wikibase Occurrence # 217138
 
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Date:Friday 2 November 2018
Time:11:51
Type:Silhouette image of generic MUS2 model; specific model in this crash may look slightly different    
Bushby Mustang II
Owner/operator:Private
Registration: N287BM
MSN: 287
Year of manufacture:2003
Total airframe hrs:874 hours
Engine model:Lycoming O3-20-E2A
Fatalities:Fatalities: 2 / Occupants: 2
Aircraft damage: Substantial
Category:Accident
Location:Anthem Ranch, Broomfield, CO -   United States of America
Phase: Approach
Nature:Private
Departure airport:Erie, CO (EIK)
Destination airport:Erie, CO (EIK)
Investigating agency: NTSB
Confidence Rating: Accident investigation report completed and information captured
Narrative:
The private pilot and his passenger were returning from a local flight. According to GPS data, the airplane overflew the airport and entered a midfield right downwind leg for the landing runway before turning to the base leg. Multiple witnesses observed the airplane fly at a high speed and a low altitude before it banked sharply, descended toward the ground, and impacted terrain.

The damage to the airplane was consistent with the airplane impacting the ground in a nose-low, wings-level attitude. Postaccident examination of the airframe and engine revealed no mechanical anomalies that would have precluded normal operations.

Two AIRMETs that were valid for the accident location and time warned of moderate turbulence and low-level wind shear conditions. Various weather products, including computer model simulations and satellite images, depicted conditions consistent with moderate-to-severe turbulence that were conducive for mountain wave activity near the airport. In addition, multiple pilot reports in the area indicated moderate-to-severe turbulence. The observed wind speeds at the airport directly before and after the accident time were weaker than what was encountered by the accident flight due to the inversion likely staying in place longer at the airport. A weather simulation indicated that the accident airplane was in an area of downdrafts with magnitudes between 200 and 1,000 fpm and updrafts with magnitudes between 300 and 1,500 fpm. The airplane was in an area with horizontal wind magnitudes between 20 and 30 knots.


No evidence indicated that the pilot obtained a weather briefing for the intended route of flight; however, even if the pilot had obtained a weather briefing, no weather products at the time of the accident would have specifically mentioned the potential for mountain wave activity.

The accident flight likely encountered mountain wave and rotor conditions while on final approach to the airport with wind gusting between 30 to 50 knots and updrafts and downdrafts with magnitudes between 500 and 1,500 ft per minute. The pilot was most likely not able to maintain airplane control due to this encounter.

Probable Cause: The pilot's inability to maintain airplane control following an encounter with mountain wave turbulence.

Accident investigation:
cover
  
Investigating agency: NTSB
Report number: CEN19FA022
Status: Investigation completed
Duration: 1 year and 6 months
Download report: Final report

Sources:

NTSB

History of this aircraft

Other occurrences involving this aircraft
2 October 2011 N287BM Private 0 Brush Municipal Airport - K7V5, CO sub
Runway excursion

Location

Media:

href="https://t.co/TH5zPjXq5n">pic.twitter.com/TH5zPjXq5n

— Denver7 News (@DenverChannel) 2 novembre 2018

Revision history:

Date/timeContributorUpdates
02-Nov-2018 19:17 gerard57 Added
02-Nov-2018 19:30 Captain Adam Updated [Time, Location, Phase, Source, Narrative]
02-Nov-2018 20:04 harro Updated [Aircraft type]
02-Nov-2018 20:04 harro Updated [Aircraft type, Source]
02-Nov-2018 20:39 Iceman 29 Updated [Embed code]
02-Nov-2018 21:14 Geno Updated [Time, Source, Embed code, Narrative]
04-Nov-2018 16:22 Anon. Updated [Narrative]
05-Nov-2018 19:32 Captain Adam Updated [Registration, Cn, Source]
17-Nov-2018 01:11 Geno Updated [Time, Phase, Departure airport, Destination airport, Narrative]
28-Nov-2018 08:48 L1011TriStar Updated [Narrative]
09-Mar-2019 13:43 Anon. Updated [Departure airport, Destination airport]
22-May-2020 09:24 ASN Update Bot Updated [Time, Departure airport, Destination airport, Source, Embed code, Damage, Narrative, Accident report, ]

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